Why Scenarios?

Human beings tend to assume that the future will be a modified version of the present, yet this is unlikely.

Scenarios help people imagine and manage the future more effectively under conditions of:

High uncertainty
Better to be approximately right than precisely wrong.
Contested worldviews
Individual gains can lead to collective loss.
Finite resources
Robust strategies ensure effective allocation of resources.
Potential disruptive change
Conventional tools are too specific to recognise signals of change.